Notes: ATL and WSH are playing a doubleheader and the pitchers are not yet available so there are no lines to be made yet. Found the line in MIL and CHC interesting. I show MIL with Woodruff a -127 FAV and Bookmaker has Hendricks -115. It creates 42 basis points of variance which is 8.6% EV+ Edge! The NYM are again high and likely to be that for a bit as my model rates them probably too many wins. Indicates false value on them against Nola. Noticed that ARI with Bumgarner was a FAV with my model yet a dog at Bookmaker. There are 34basis points of variance or 7.26% EV+ Edge. Not sure how trusting I am with Bumgarner these days. Seems like he gets rocked every time he throws!
Published by webbie20
I am an experienced sports gambler who allows access to my strategies, analysis, and data. Some of what I do is FREE for all, yet others will pay a small amount to access everything. I utilize the website (https://mlb-daily.com/) and a Telegram page to provide my thoughts, data, and picks. View more posts