Webbie Odds for 04/07

Notes: ATL and WSH are playing a doubleheader and the pitchers are not yet available so there are no lines to be made yet. Found the line in MIL and CHC interesting. I show MIL with Woodruff a -127 FAV and Bookmaker has Hendricks -115. It creates 42 basis points of variance which is 8.6% EV+ Edge! The NYM are again high and likely to be that for a bit as my model rates them probably too many wins. Indicates false value on them against Nola. Noticed that ARI with Bumgarner was a FAV with my model yet a dog at Bookmaker. There are 34basis points of variance or 7.26% EV+ Edge. Not sure how trusting I am with Bumgarner these days. Seems like he gets rocked every time he throws!


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