NOTES: Let’s start with my model saying there are two teams which are dogs that it believes are favorites. The teams are ATL and TOR. The model prefers Morton and Ryu. Keep in mind that it does not know Acuna is likely not playing for a few days. Still, ATL is showing 37 basis points edge (7.81% EV+) and TOR 26 basis points edge (5.75% EV+).

My model still loves the Mets! Another BIG margin 40 basis points. Not a fan of CHC so I might take a good look into the validity of these odds.

There are some nice series starting. The CHW/CLE series has divisional implications. TOR/BOS series is good especially as both teams are hitting. ATL/NYY series is good just because they are both supposed to be good teams. ATL catching NYY at it worst but shorthanded (Acuna). MIN/OAK series are two good teams. MIN coming off Covid relief so be careful regarding who is in the lineup!

Published by webbie20

I am an experienced sports gambler who allows access to my strategies, analysis, and data. Some of what I do is FREE for all, yet others will pay a small amount to access everything. I utilize the website (https://mlb-daily.com/) and a Telegram page to provide my thoughts, data, and picks.

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