RECAP: 2-2 yesterday and -.30 units. The day started 0-2 with NYM having their own issue hitting the ball losing to ARI, then TOR Ryu ran into trouble and didn’t make it through innings. The west coast was good as LAA Syndergaard threw well and the offense continued hitting. The LAD found ways to get to CIN Greene (100+ mph) and pushed across 5 runs to win 5-0.
NOTE: I will be adding a new segment this year to cover the Sunday night game. I may not wager it, but I will write up my thoughts on each one of these games.
I am starting in BAL. The Oriole offense is on my PLAY AGAINST list right now. In the past 7 days, they scored only 12 runs which are dead last in MLB. They have 37 hits (ranking 27th) and only 2 HRs (again last). Today their offense faces a pitcher it has had trouble with in Nestor Cortez. In two starts last year, he threw 12 innings allowing only 7 hits and two runs! Cortez throws a slider and cutter which BAL offense ranks 22nd and 29th against. I expect the BAL offense to continue to struggle today. The NYY offense has yet to wake up. They are getting a chance to face Zimmermann today. He threw the best game of his career in his last start so we should expect some regression today. In his only start against NYY, he lasted only 3.2 innings allowing 9 hits and 4 runs. My first selection is rotation #965 NYY RL -1.5 -115.
I am going to the well once again. We go back to TEX where the LAA have had their way so far in the series going 2-1 scoring 21 runs. The TEX bullpen is 30th in baseball right now so even if LAA gets behind, they can still rally back. TEX is starting Martin Perez today. In his last five starts against LAA., he has only one above average and the rest well below average. His game score average is 40 for those five games. His last seven starts also see a game score average of 40 indicating he is a well below average (51) pitcher. He throws a slider and cutter which LAA offense ranks #2 and #4 at hitting against. Advantage LAA. Jose Suarez starts for LAA. and is an above-average pitcher. He has thrown three times against TEX with success. He has not thrown a below-average game and his team’s record is 3-0 in those games. The TEX offense has been good too, however, Suarez throws curveballs and changeups. The TEX offense ranks #28 against the CB, and #16 against the CH. My selection is rotation #975 LAA Suarez -109.