RECAP: I went 1-1 yesterday and again could’ve been 2-0. These early games are now 4 losers that could have been 4 winners! But there is no crying in baseball as they say and we move on! The Season is 24-25 -3.22 units as the units were net 0 yesterday. However, I did hit the How to Play Sunday Night game which is now 1-1 and plus .35 units.
Today there is only one pick for me. I am on rotation #963 Cleveland Bieber FG +105. Shane Bieber is an ace. He will be facing the Angels whose offense is 5th best in MLB. Bieber has a devastating slider. His runs saved above average is 4.1 on that pitch which is 4th best in MLB. All of his pitches are either 0 or plus! He has 5 pitches he throws. His metrics are off the charts with a 2.94 xFIP and 2.85 SIERA. It just means he is forecast for continued success. CLE is off a rough series vs the NYY and their quality pitching. However, they will Michael Lorenzen tonight. Although he has been decent as a starter with an xFIP 3.51 and SIERA 3.07, CLE batters have seen him before. He was a relief pitcher for CIN and their in-state rival so they play 6 times each year. He is not nearly well-versed as a starting pitcher yet. Whereas Bieber has 5 pitches, Lorenzen has 3 and only 1 is showing as a plus pitch while the others are negative! I expect CLE to put balls in play. The CLE bullpen is also more preferred than that of LAA. Webbie Odds actually sees Bieber as a -121 favorite yet I can get him tonight as a dog. I like the value presented and that Bieber is an ace going against a former relief pitcher who will certainly need help to get through the game bringing into play the LAA bullpen.