Author Archives: webbie20

The teams have won-lost percentages, allowing us to formulate a line’s starting point. We can use a formula to determine how many times a team with a winning percentage of .540 is playing a team with a .480 winning percentage is expected to win. It turns out to be a percentage we can turn intoContinue reading “Daily Handicapping MLB”

The proprietary Webbie Odds for March 21 are now available! I will list every game every day! Next week, there will be 15 games on this sheet, and it expanded for totals and strike-out props after the first couple of weeks (I need data for that)!

I will write several games on the website daily. You can see those in the Game Write-Ups tab (https://mlb-daily.com/the-webb-report/). I will write almost every game in the premium sections. This morning will not show an edge either way on the game, but we can still make a good wager on a Freddie Freeman prop. TheContinue reading “MLB In the morning from Souel!”

As Spring training ends and the 2024 MLB season begins, it is a right of passage to discuss the new season through a weather lens—well, at least for the first few weeks or so. The teams have been in the warmth of Florida and Arizona for the last month and a half, enjoying temps inContinue reading “This is a reminder about cold weather and MLB as the season starts.”

This series between the Dodgers and the Padres will have alternate home teams, with the Padres being the home team in game one. As we set this line, neither team will have a home-field edge. A home-field edge is worth .20 or .25 to the line. So the first thing we do is determine theContinue reading “Let’s make a line for Opening Day in Seoul!”

It’s not often that teams have “meaningful” Spring Training games, but this series is one that the players appreciate. It will have special meaning as many players are from The Dominican Republic. They will have their families there and will want to play well in front of them. This is a series between the RaysContinue reading “We have a Spring series in the Dominican Republic this weekend!”

Spring Training is about the pitchers and the lineups. Often a starting lineup will face non regulars from their opponents. We want to capitalize on specific events if the market allows. Today, I made two wagers in the Cactus League. I do not play these at full unit sizes, generally around half a normal unitContinue reading “2024 Spring Training Bets 03/04”

I write this as a synopsis, but it should not be taken as an in-depth gathering of data and stats. The idea is to encapsulate it as data and stats get boring. Each new season should start where the previous year left off, then look at each team’s improvements or lack thereof and how theyContinue reading “2024 AMERICAN LEAGUE PREVIEW”

After some review and fine-tuning, I am releasing my first set of “Webbie Ratings” for the 2024 season. These ratings can change and will change a little before the season begins based on injuries, trades, and free-agent signings. These ratings are a marriage of several components that I believe provide the true team strength andContinue reading “2024 MLB WEBBIE RATINGS”

If you were to look up “What is a good bet?” in a dictionary, the answer would come back with this. According to Collins, the definition of a good bet is this, “If you say that it is a good bet or a safe bet that something is true or will happen, you are saying that it is extremelyContinue reading “What is a good bet?”