NOTES: This new week of teams looks to have created fewer margins for most of the 1st games. The largest variances are 30 basis points LAD, 27 basis points DET, and 20 basis points ARI. These are 1 favorite (LAD), not enough odds, and 2 favorites getting too many odds. Keep an eye of theContinue reading “WEBBIE ODDS 04/16 & NOTES”


NOTES: As I have been discussing in here, BOS Red Sox are a team to be betting on! Even on a 9 game win streak they are getting little understanding from the books about how good they are. My model has them with 33 basis points edge again! There are two things here, A don’tContinue reading “WEBBIE ODDS 04/15 & NOTES”

My WAgers for today 04/14

What a struggle for me to start the season. It is a long haul though and now pitchers will be getting their 3rd starts. After that going into their 4th starts and the rest of the season, the data become much more reliable and more can be used. I need a good run to getContinue reading “My WAgers for today 04/14”


Well, I must say that the lines are pretty good. If you play where the variances are, you’ll have more winners than losers. I trait I should be going for! Still, cold start running! NOTES: The largest variance is TB over TEX. I tend to omit the largest variance and work down from there. TheContinue reading “WEBBIE ODDS FOR 04/14 & NOTES”

Webbie Odds 04/13 with notes

Notes; there are several games I am not sure who is pitching or even if there will be a game. BOS/MIN game cancelled tonight not sure about it’s status for tomorrow. SEA/BAL was rained out and scheduled for doubleheader but not sure the pitching matchups are finalized. PHI/NYM same as SEA/BAL. Also looks like CHC/MILContinue reading “Webbie Odds 04/13 with notes”

What I wagered on today 04/12

It has been the coldest start to a season I have ever had. No excuses. Just have to forge through it. Reminds of two things. #1Tough times will pass leaving a tough person there and #2 Scared Money Don’t Make No Money. Just means that things are cyclical and good times will come, and toContinue reading “What I wagered on today 04/12”

Webbie Odds 04/12 with notes

Notes: As my betting season has been dismal to start off, the Webbie Lines are doing great! Today’s theme…..Overrated Favorites or Under valued dogs! BOS is not getting respect. My model has MIN -108, yet Bookmaker opened them up at -150. The variance is 42 basis points or 8.68% EV+ Edge! Another is TB. GlasnowContinue reading “Webbie Odds 04/12 with notes”

What I wagered today

I do breakdown my wagers in audio form in my Telegram page. Over the years it has been popular. You can get into the Telegram group using this link: https://t.me/mlbdaily Please visit HOME page of my website and subscribe. Click the link and put in your email address. You will get everything posted coming to yourContinue reading “What I wagered today”

Webbie Odds for 04/11 plus notes

Notes: There are 3 games where my model has the WRONG team favored! These are LAA @TOR, MIL @ STL, and COL @ SF. MIL is showing the best value of these games as their basis points margin is 37 or 8.81% EV+ Edge. I am surprised at TOR Roark is favored over LAA asContinue reading “Webbie Odds for 04/11 plus notes”

%d bloggers like this: