WEBBIE ODDS & NOTES FOR 05/14

NOTES: It is interesting to see my model have overwhelming variance to the FAVs today. There are only 3 games where it has indicated the FAV is too large with one of them worth checking into. The TBR are -155 vs NYM where my model says TBR is -135 FAV. The main reason for thisContinue reading “WEBBIE ODDS & NOTES FOR 05/14”

WIN PROBABILITY ADDED

The point of this to understand a player’s value based on contribution to wins and MLB talent. As stated above, this is a cumulative stat, so it compiles over each appearance or a bat. The following is a list of starting pitchers from #1 to #30.  Whereas WAR is wins above replacement, WPA is aContinue reading “WIN PROBABILITY ADDED”

WEBBIE ODDS AND NOTES FOR 05/05

NOTES: Lot’s of variance in today’s slate of games! My model has 2 wrong team favorites (COL, STL) and there are 8 games where the variance is at least 20 basis points today. I am still intrigued that the NYM are always more with my model so far, however, I must say that it isContinue reading “WEBBIE ODDS AND NOTES FOR 05/05”

WEBBIE ODDS AND NOTES FOR 05/03

NOTES: The beginning of this week sees new matchups like all new weeks do. Some good series look to be TBR/LAA, TOR/OAK, CLE/KC, MIL/PHI, NYM/STL, ATL/WSH, and HOU/NYY! Today my model has 2 underdogs as small favorites. They are MIL Houser and TOR Matz. My model also likes LAD bigger than the sportsbooks. It likeContinue reading “WEBBIE ODDS AND NOTES FOR 05/03”

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