The Betting and Preview

The purpose of this guide and preview is assist your baseball knowledge for the 2021 season. It is laid out and formatted for those who wager on baseball but will also apply to those that are just fans of the game. I hope that by the time you have read through the articles, strategies, team previews, etc. that you will use this as a resource for the season and will have learned a little about baseball through a Sabermetric view of the sport. A daily fantasy player might find some value in here as well. It will not be nor is it intended to be a draft guide for fantasy. This guide is all about wagering and evaluating teams and matchups as to provide an edge to the bettor. It never hurts to put yourself in a spot where you can make some money!

How good are the 2021 Mariners?

When looking into the 2021 crystal ball, I came across the Seattle Mariners offense. Some projections often surprise me. From a far, one might think this is a young rebuilding team with some exciting talent on the rise. I believe this is the worst offense in baseball.

Seattle Mariners (U.S.)

The projections indicate a below average performer at every position except Haniger (who is average in the projection) and missed the entire season last year. Notice that the higher WAR totals reflect defense not offense. OFF is the batting side of the WAR calculation, which in this case reflects everyone (but Haniger) is worse than a replacement player! It is also shown in the wOBA. The average should .325 or so, and here we find no one. Again, wRC+ (average is 100) sees Haniger at the average with no one else! This will be a rough ride for SEA in 2021. It also shows how far away they really are.

MLB Player Movement

Jan. 21, 2021: Astros sign OF Michael Brantley and C Jason Castro

Jan. 20, 2021: Blue Jays sign OF George Springer, P Kirby Yates and P Tyler Chatwood

Jan. 19, 2021: Angels sign P José Quintana

Jan. 18, 2021: Nationals sign P Jon Lester

Jan. 18, 2021: Pirates trade P Joe Musgrove to Padres in three-team deal that sends P Joey Lucchesi to Mets

Jan. 15, 2021: Yankees sign P Corey Kluber

Jan. 15, 2021: Yankees sign IF DJ LeMahieu

Jan. 13, 2021: Astros sign P Pedro Báez

Jan. 12, 2021: White Sox sign P Liam Hendriks

Jan. 9, 2021: Nationals sign OF Kyle Schwarber

Jan. 7, 2021: Indians trade SS Francisco Lindor and P Carlos Carrasco to Mets for IF Amed Rosario, IF Andrés Giménez, and Minor Leaguers RHP Josh Wolf and OF Isaiah Greene

Jan. 5, 2021: Tigers sign OF Robbie Grossman

Dec. 31, 2020: Padres sign INF Ha-Seong Kim

Dec. 29, 2020: Cubs trade P Yu Darvish and C Victor Caratini to Padres

Dec. 29, 2020: Rays trade P José Alvarado to Phillies in three-team deal

Dec. 29, 2020: Rays trade P Blake Snell to Padres

Dec. 26, 2020: Rangers sign P Kohei Arihara

Dec. 24, 2020: Pirates trade 1B Josh Bell to Nationals

Dec. 23, 2020: Dodgers sign P Tommy Kahnle

Dec. 18, 2020: Rays sign P Michael Wacha

Dec. 16, 2020: Giants sign P Anthony DeSclafani

Dec. 15, 2020: Rangers trade P Rafael Montero to Mariners

Dec. 14, 2020: Red Sox sign OF Hunter Renfroe

Dec. 12, 2020: Mets sign C James McCann

Dec. 11, 2020: Rangers agree to deal with OF David Dahl

Dec. 10, 2020: Rays trade 1B Nate Lowe to Rangers

Dec. 9, 2020: Mariners sign P Chris Flexen

Dec. 8, 2020: White Sox sign OF Adam Eaton

Dec. 8, 2020: Royals sign 1B Carlos Santana

Dec. 8, 2020: Giants sign P Matt Wisler

Dec. 7, 2020: Rangers trade P Lance Lynn to White Sox for P Dane Dunning

Dec. 7, 2020: Reds trade P Raisel Iglesias and cash to Angels for P Noé Ramirez and PTBNL

Dec. 2, 2020: Orioles trade SS José Iglesias to Angels

Dec. 1, 2020: P Trevor May signs with Mets

Nov. 30, 2020: OF Michael A. Taylor signs with Royals

Dec. 1, 2020: P Mike Minor signs with Royals

Nov. 25, 2020: Reds trade P Robert Stephenson to Rockies for P Jeff Hoffman

Nov. 24, 2020: P Charlie Morton signs with Braves

Nov. 16, 2020: P Drew Smyly signs with Braves

2021 MLB Betting Guide and Preview

My annual MLB Preview and Betting Guide is being written now! Previous editions have included 3-4 page previews for every team, season win best bets, and articles relating complex Sabermetric data to wagering. The 2021 edition is more of the same excellent content. It will be available in the beginning of March, 2021.

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