Simply stated, EV+ betting involves making wagers where the outcome is expected to be positive. We should focus on these wagers based on either the odds from book to book (top-down) or odds compared to origination (bottom-up). My premium section displays these odds and provides EV+ opportunities daily! A sample of tomorrow is below.
The majority of the games are here. You will see “My probability,” which is Webbie Odds translated to probability and odds. You also see Listed Odds, in this case, Draft Kings. The formulas then create odds and vigorish to calculate true odds, giving us EV+ wagers. Anything shown in the black is an EV+ wager. This means we should expect a positive outcome if we bet 1000 times on a wager. We should not be wagering many, if any, red wagers. The red wagers are EV- suggesting we can make that bet 1000 times and expect a negative outcome! Making good bets is the principal and often overlooked aspect of sports wagering. We get too tied up in the handicap of the teams and players. We MUST make good bets. I will show you how.
I will also provide expert-level handicaps of the games. If you choose to wager on a game, you will know your chances and have all the information needed to make that wager. This is the purpose of this website! I will have some of this available in the free sections of the website, but the premium section provides this for almost every game! This is the kind of advice and opinions you should be impatient for. Get as much knowledge, math, and data as possible to make your best wager [possible every time.
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