I won three bets yesterday due to the process which created the ability to find the right wagers. I used team wins for pitchers and bullpen availability to get these wins! Let’s look at these.
What are team wins for pitchers? When a starting pitcher makes a start, does his team win or lose that game? This is it. Wins and losses by a pitcher do not matter, as those things are very arbitrary, so we don’t even bother using that stat. However, when we make a wager, we are betting on the team to win, so team wins and losses in the starts a pitcher makes are very important. PHI Zack Wheeler makes a perfect case for this. His 2023 season saw him make 32 starts. He posted a 13-6 record! However, in the games he started, the Phillies went only 19-13! It means his team is more apt to lose games than win games. Using this information in yesterday’s game against PIT. I bet PHI Wheeler RL F5 innings, not the entire game. PHI scratched across 2 runs and on the bet. In the 6th inning, PIT hit a grand slam home run to take a 5-2 lead and never looked back to win that game. A pitcher like Spencer Strider is where we want to be. He made 32 starts last season, like Wheeler did. However, the Braves were 26-6 in his starts! It is essential to know what information to look at. I could have made a mistake making a full-game bet, but I won and didn’t lose one because I knew this information!
I bet on the CIN RL -1.5 against CHW and SD ML +130 against LAD yesterday. The reasoning was that CHW had the 27th-ranked bullpen and a starter for whom CIN could put up runs. CIN ended up with 11 runs, getting 5 against the starter and 6 more off the bullpen. However, the SD game was a little different because I used the availability of the Dodger’s bullpen pitchers. Every bullpen has its best guys (the A group) and the lesser guys (the B group). Due to pitch usage from the last day’s game, the Dodgers did not have their A group available. My handicap showed Paxton as hittable and put guys on base via the walk, meaning SD would have the reasonable opportunity throughout the game to score runs. SD had an edge with their starting pitcher, and their bullpen was available. As it went, LAD hit a HR off Darvish to lead 3-1. However, Paxton walked guys, and the bullpen allowed the game to get tied 3-3. Then the LAD bullpen struggled, allowing 3 more runs, and won the game 6-3. SD could have easily scored more runs as they didn’t capitalize on all those walks as they could have, but 6 was enough for me to get the win.
The purpose is to show that good information will lead to good results. It is crucial to determine what is essential and what is not. Let’s work on this together! Sign up with me to share these daily events as they occur! Use the link below. I assure you that you will gain valuable information about betting and betting on baseball!