The season shows that the home field is not so friendly right now. Look at the chart below regarding teams and their away records as of today. It shows 17 of the 30 teams have at least a .500 record and 22 are within 1 game of being .500 on the road. MIL, CLE, and BOS are a combined 30-8 when they play away from home!
Usually, these teams will be underdogs too, so betting on the away team has been profitable. The green ROIs in this chart outweigh the red and it’s not even close!
The run line comes into play roughly 28% of the time. There are 15 games per night when all the teams play, so there will be 4 one-run games. These games might be easy to identify when there are two dominant pitchers for example. My contention is not to be afraid of the run line and use it more often. I played a game recently where The Mets were -142 -1.5 and -135 on the money line. I played the Run Line and the Mets won 9-1! I made great value there. It is also getting to a point where certain teams can’t score any runs. These teams right now are the White Sox, Rockies, Cardinals, and Pirates. Playing the run line against these teams is a good idea. It is better to monitor these teams’ offensive output weekly. Every team will have its issues, you can be more prepared to get maximum value from betting against them.