Many bettors in the market make bets on trends, systems, line moves, injuries, weather, their favorite teams, and so on. They find reasons to put their dollars at risk. While spread betting is the most popular because of the points, it is true that whether you are getting or having to cover points, it’s the value that makes the bet. This value betting strategy should apply to all your bets, including money line wagers, parlays, teasers, or any other bet. Poker is this way and maybe the best analogy to making sports wagers. A bet where you believe that the odds of an event happening are greater than the odds offered by the bookmaker is a value bet.
In poker, there are 52 cards in the deck, and you see the flop, turn, and river for a total of 5 cards. A sound player will know which cards he needs to make his hand the best hand. In turn, he can divide those helpful cards (outs) by the cards in play to get actual probabilities of events. He can make the correct decision based on the card’s odds probability and the money in the pot. Sports betting is exactly the same thing! If a sports bettor is given -130 odds from a sportsbook which has a 56.5% probability, but he sees the odds as -150 (60.% probability). Now the bettor has a value bet. The value is 20 cents in the line or 3.5% in probability. As a bettor, we should be doing this on every bet or we don’t bet!
Making a bet is not the same thing as handicapping a game. Handicapping has to do with team and player comparisons. It can help gause the gap between teams. Bettors use trends, systems, line moves, injuries, scores, etc to determine these things. There is no handicapping a bet. It is either made with more or less probability of winning. We are in MLB season and there is NO BETTER way to make MLB wagers than this! If you use a service or handicapper, make sure you are getting the probability of your bet winning before you make it. If you are a DIY bettor, make sure you are adding probabilities to your process.
I have WEBBIE ODDS and through those, I get a WEBBIE EV+ TOOL. I have the probability difference for every game daily. I do handicapping as well, but I want to only make winning probability bets and a solution for finding those bets. I encourage you to give my website a look at http://www.MLB-DAILY.COM. I have plenty of helpful daily content but I also have a section for those who want it all. WEBBIE ODDs, WEBBIE EV+TOOL, WEBBIE Score Predictor, my proprietary Pitcher Repots, Offense / Cluster Report, Bullpen Report, and analysis for virtually every game are provided daily. I also share the bets I make. If you just want picks, or if you want the information to make your bets, this is the place to use.
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